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Here we look at the leading indicators in the world of economics.

for in-depth analysis into commodities, trade, equities and more with a focus on Europe.

BoE set to resume easing cycle next month

Recent messaging by Governor Bailey hints at a more aggressive rate-cutting approach by the BoE. Markets now anticipate a quarter-point rate cut in November and a likely follow-up in December. Meanwhile, the UK 10-year gilt yield has spiked, reflecting market concerns over the Chancellor鈥檚 potential plans to ease borrowing rules in the upcoming budget.

Elevated oil prices

Amid ongoing geopolitical tensions, oil prices have surged, with Brent Crude rising over +13% from last week, now exceeding $80 per barrel, its highest level since August. Despite much uncertainty, inflationary risks remain skewed to the downside, though much larger and sustained increases in oil prices could impact financial markets.

How are businesses leveraging AI?

In the latest ONS BIC survey, 40% of All Businesses reported using AI primarily to enhance their operations. Additionally, 24% of businesses are utilising AI to provide or personalise products for their customers. Last week, Keir Starmer also expressed his ambition to position London as the global AI capital.

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