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Here we look at the leading indicators in the world of economics.

for in-depth analysis into commodities, trade, equities and more with a focus on Europe.

UK Inflation declines to its lowest since April 2021

UK inflation fell to 1.7% in September, below the Bank of England's 2% target for the first time in over three years. In response, markets have increased expectations for consecutive rate cuts at the BoE鈥檚 November and December meetings, where previously only one cut was anticipated. Looking ahead, the BoE will closely assess Chancellor Reeves鈥� upcoming budget, which could introduce new spending that may fuel inflationary pressures.

Is business investment poised to pick up?

With the BoE starting its monetary easing and profitability rising, a steady recovery in UK business investment and capital spending is anticipated. The latest BoE Credit Conditions Survey shows that lending standards for SMEs (small and medium-sized enterprises) will loosen over the next three months, with banks expecting rising investment to fuel greater loan demand. Business investment is projected to grow by +3.1% in 2025.

Inbound UK volumes are showing relative resilience

Last week, the Government launched its Industrial Strategy consultation, a 10-year plan to drive growth and enhance business investment. In line with this, our latest UK Cities DNA research delves into the unique economic profiles of UK towns and cities, highlighting regional clusters well-positioned for expansion and poised to attract domestic and international investment. Notably, cross-border investment in the UK has remained resilient, with £14bn invested YTD.

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